NOAA’S ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE Building Pathways for Better Science in Water Forecasting
نویسندگان
چکیده
AFFILIATIONS: MCENERY—Water Resource Center, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, Texas; INGRAM—Office of Hydrologic Development, NOAA’s National Weather Service, Silver Spring, Maryland; DUAN— Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, California; ADAMS— Ohio River Forecast Center, NOAA’s National Weather Service, Wilmington, Ohio; ANDERSON—Office of Science and Technology, NOAA’s National Weather Service, Silver Spring, Maryland (formerly Weather Forecast Office, Grand Forks, North Dakota) NOAA’S ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE Building Pathways for Better Science in Water Forecasting
منابع مشابه
Long-range experimental hydrologic forecasting for the eastern United States
[1] We explore a strategy for long-range hydrologic forecasting that uses ensemble climate model forecasts as input to a macroscale hydrologic model to produce runoff and streamflow forecasts at spatial and temporal scales appropriate for water management. Monthly ensemble climate model forecasts produced by the National Centers for Environmental Prediction/Climate Prediction Center global spec...
متن کاملA Test Bed for New Seasonal Hydrologic Forecasting Approaches in the Western United States
H ydrologic extremes are costly to the nation. Annual U.S. drought and flood damages over the last decade have averaged between $6–$8 and $2 billion, respectively (FEMA 1995). Losses associated with the four-year 2000s drought in the western United States are likely to be in the tens of billions of dollars. To the extent that floods and droughts can be mitigated by management of water stored in...
متن کاملUsing Climate Predictions in Great Lakes Hydrologic Forecasts
The Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory’s (GLERL’s) Advanced Hydrologic Prediction System (AHPS) illustrates the technology for those interested in using climate predictions in water resources decisions. It provides 1—6-month probability outlooks for 25 hydrology variables over the 121 watersheds and 7 lake surfaces of the Great Lakes basin, including simultaneous water levels on all ...
متن کاملAdvancing data assimilation in operational hydrologic forecasting: progresses, challenges, and emerging opportunities
Data assimilation (DA) holds considerable potential for improving hydrologic predictions as demonstrated in numerous research studies. However, advances in hydrologic DA research have not been adequately or timely implemented in operational forecast systems to improve the skill of forecasts for better informed real-world decision making. This is due in part to a lack of mechanisms to properly q...
متن کاملHydrologic Scales, Cloud Variability, Remote Sensing, and Models: Implications for Forecasting Snowmelt and Streamflow
Accurate prediction of available water supply from snowmelt is needed if the myriad of human, environmental, agricultural, and industrial demands for water are to be satisfied, especially given legislatively imposed conditions on its allocation. Robust retrievals of hydrologic basin model variables (e.g., insolation or areal extent of snow cover) provide several advantages over the current oper...
متن کامل